← Back to Compounders

Compounders · Research Note

Muthoot Finance

Holding horizon · 10+ yearsTarget: Best · long term

The stock market is a device for transferring money from the impatient to the patient.

Warren Buffett
Price

₹2,886.4

Market cap

₹1,15,879.82 Cr

Price ÷ Earnings

10.18×

Price ÷ Book

2.86×

Return on capital

14.88%

The pawnbroker with a vault

In countless Indian homes the family's real savings are not in a bank but on the wrists and necks of its women — gold, handed down and added to. Muthoot Finance built a great business on a simple, ancient idea: lend money against that gold, hold the jewellery safe in a vault, and hand it back when the loan is repaid. The loan is fully secured by something that holds its value, the borrower keeps her ornaments' ownership, and Muthoot earns a healthy spread. It has been doing this for generations, mostly across the South, and is the largest of its kind in the country.

For a compounder hunter, the economics are the attraction: the company earns close to thirty-one paise on every rupee of its owners' capital — an unusually high return for a lender — and has compounded profit at better than a fifth a year for a decade.

Quality at an unusually low price

What sets this apart from most fine businesses is the price. The shares change hands at about twelve times earnings — close to the modest multiple the company has worn for most of its life, and a remarkably plain price for a thirty-per-cent-return franchise. One is not paying up here for the quality; the market, wary of gold loans, offers it cheaply. The company pays a steady dividend besides.

What to weigh

The risks are the gold-loan risks. Earnings rise and fall somewhat with the price of gold, since that sets how much can be lent against a given ornament; a sharp fall in gold would pinch growth. The Reserve Bank periodically tightens the rules for gold lending, which can disrupt the trade for a while. And the business is concentrated in southern India and faces growing competition from banks and newer lenders chasing the same secured, profitable loan.

What this asks of you

Think in years, as a compounder demands. The case is a high-return, well-secured lending franchise, run by a long-tenured family, bought at an ordinary price — the rare instance where quality and a fair valuation sit together. The risk is gold prices and the regulator's mood; the comfort is a thirty-per-cent return on equity and a loan book backed by metal in a vault. Buy it to own for a decade, and let the steady compounding of secured lending do the work.

More Compounders namesYour dashboard